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reuters.com/markets/us/fed-signals-december-cut-as-inflation-cools5

Markets

Fed signals December cut as inflation cools

By Dana Whitfield · October 26, 2026

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials pointed on Thursday to a quarter-point cut in December after a second month of softer prices. Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling. Officials pencilled in two more cuts next year in their latest projections.

Core prices rose 0.2% in September, below forecasts, and Treasury yields slipped to 4.08%, the lowest since August. Officials described the labor market as cooling but still solid, with payrolls up 142,000 last month. Oil eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up.

Futures moved within minutes of the remarks, and the dollar slipped against most major currencies in afternoon trading. The committee meets again on December 9 and 10.

Polywire
RFed signals December cut as inflation cools
  • R

    Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

    Fed rate cut in December?
    63¢Yes
    YesMedium
  • R

    Officials pencilled in two more cuts next year in their latest projections.

    Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
    4¢Yes
    NoHigh
  • R

    Treasury yields slipped to 4.08%, the lowest since August.

    10-year Treasury yield below 4% on December 31?
    41¢Yes
    YesLow
  • R

    Officials described the labor market as cooling but still solid.

    US recession in 2026?
    11¢Yes
    NoMedium
  • R

    Oil eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up.

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
    22¢Yes
    YesLow
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polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-in-december

Fed rate cut in December?

63% chance

  • Yes63¢
  • No37¢
Polywire
R

Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

Fed rate cut in December?

Amount$25.00
39.56 shares · avg 63.2¢Payout $39.56

The news behind every market.

polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-in-december

Fed rate cut in December?

63% chance

41¢63¢
  1. A

    Core prices rose 0.2% in September, below forecasts.

    AP · Oct 15, 08:3141¢47¢
  2. R

    Officials described the labor market as cooling but still solid.

    Reuters · Oct 22, 10:0447¢54¢
  3. R

    Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

    Reuters · Oct 26, 14:0254¢63¢

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